Closing Wrap · 2026-11-11

CoreWeave rescues the AI trade as hot CPI sends the dollar higher

Strong CoreWeave results revived the chip and AI-infrastructure trade from Seoul to New York. Even so, the dollar climbed towards 160 yen as markets priced in a December Fed rate hike. The rally was a tech story: the rest of the market barely took part.

S&P 500
7,619.38
+1.31%
Nasdaq Composite
25,466.19
+1.60%
Brent crude
$92.55
+1.16%
VIX
17.49
-10.12%

Markets at the close

by asset class
Indices
S&P 500
7,619.38
+1.31%
Nasdaq Composite
25,466.19
+1.60%
Dow Jones
52,486.49
+0.49%
Russell 20002026-11-11 16:03 EST
2,846.26
+0.88%
FTSE 1002026-11-11 16:35 GMT
10,835.47
+0.78%
Euro Stoxx 502026-11-11 18:00 CET
6,393.39
+1.04%
DAX2026-11-11 18:00 CET
26,662.77
+1.20%
CAC 402026-11-11 18:05 CET
8,332.87
+0.66%
Nikkei 2252026-11-11 15:45 JST
61,248.59
+4.21%
Hang Seng2026-11-11 16:08 HKT
24,315.92
-0.54%
Shanghai Composite2026-11-11 15:00 CST
3,680.64
+0.54%
Rates
US 10-year Treasury2026-11-11 14:59 EST
4.998%
+1.5bp
US 30-year Treasury2026-11-11 14:59 EST
5.356%
+0.6bp
Currencies
GBP/USD
1.3275
-1.24%
EUR/USD
1.1093
-1.15%
USD/JPY
159.81
+1.16%
Dollar index
102.92
+0.68%
Commodities
Brent crude
$92.55
+1.16%
WTI crude
$86.38
+0.40%
Gold
$3,991.20
-0.97%
Volatility
VIX2026-11-11 16:15 EST
17.49
-10.12%
MOVE index2026-11-10 16:17 EST
92.43
+7.50%
Crypto
Bitcoin
$74,436.05
+0.97%
Ethereum
$2,073.33
+1.13%
XRP
$1.06
+0.62%
Solana
$84.67
+1.69%

Movers

Laggards
CSG N.V.CSG11× vol
-21.58%
Hanjinkal18064015× vol
-14.64%
-11.00%
Krafton Inc2599604× vol
-9.56%
Leaders
+11.93%
+8.00%
+7.74%
Laggards
CSG N.V.CSG11× vol
-21.58%
Voestalpine AGVOE4× vol
-7.65%
-4.47%
Laggards
Hanjinkal18064015× vol
-14.64%
-11.00%
Krafton Inc2599604× vol
-9.56%
-9.45%
-9.18%

What moved

Asia's chip-heavy markets led the day. The Kospi closed 7.1% higher, Taiwan's index gained 6.23% and the Nikkei 225 rose 4.21%. Hong Kong did not join in: the Hang Seng slipped 0.54%. The Shanghai Composite finished 0.54% higher. In Europe the DAX closed 1.2% up, within 0.11% of its 52-week high, while the Euro Stoxx 50 added 1.04% and the FTSE 100 0.78%.

On Wall Street the S&P 500 is at 7,619.38, up 1.31% on the session, and the Nasdaq Composite is up 1.6%. The Dow lagged with a 0.49% gain. Even after the bounce, the S&P sits 2.87% below its 52-week high and the Nasdaq 8.14% below.

Why

The day turned on CoreWeave. The AI cloud provider reported third-quarter numbers after Tuesday's close, raised its 2026 revenue guidance and said it expects to be profitable on an adjusted basis in the first half of 2028. That eased the fear that has weighed on AI stocks for weeks: that the huge spending on data centres is being financed faster than it can pay back. CoreWeave closed 24.71% higher. Peers such as Nebius, up 15.44%, rallied with it, and the buying spread to chip and memory names such as Sandisk, up 13.69%. Nvidia also recovered some ground. It had lost heavily over the previous two sessions on reports linking chief executive Jensen Huang to an alleged Chinese intelligence operation, which its independent directors are now investigating.

The second story pulls the other way. Tuesday's October inflation report ran hot: consumer prices rose 0.4% on the month against an expected 0.3%, and core prices rose 0.3% against 0.2%. Traders now fully expect a Fed rate hike of at least 25bp in December. That is why the dollar strengthened. Higher US rates make dollar deposits and bonds more attractive, which pulls money out of the euro, sterling and the yen. Political and budget worries in France added to the pressure on the euro. Sterling had no clear trigger of its own beyond the Fed repricing.

Sentiment & risk appetite

Fear eased, but buying was narrow. The VIX, Wall Street's main gauge of expected volatility, closed down 10.12% at 17.49. Bond-market volatility was a different picture: the MOVE index rose 7.5% to 92.43 on Tuesday as the inflation data hit. The rally was concentrated in a few sectors. The tech sector ETF gained 3.23%, while consumer discretionary fell 0.05% and real estate barely moved. Across our own US universe, advancers beat decliners by only 3,406 to 2,494. The Nasdaq rose about three times as much as the Dow, a sign this was a tech story rather than a broad recovery. Gold fell 0.97% to $3,991.2, and the dollar index is within 0.04% of its 52-week high.

Economic calendar

The macro story is still Tuesday's CPI report. It was the Fed's last look at consumer prices before its 8–9 December meeting. The usual year-on-year rate was not published, because last year's government shutdown left a gap in the October 2025 data. With the cash Treasury market shut for Veterans Day, the 10-year yield's 1.5bp rise to 4.998% says little. The dollar did the repricing instead, and USD/JPY is trading at 159.813. Strategists warn that a move past 160 could prompt Japanese officials to step in.

No major US data printed today. The next test is UK third-quarter GDP on Thursday morning, where economists expect growth to pick up to 0.7% from 0.5% in the second quarter. Further ahead is US PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred measure, later this month.

Earnings

Siemens Energy closed 10.78% higher after a record fiscal year, a new buyback of up to €9bn and a 2030 margin target of 20–22%. Defence group CSG fell 21.58% after cutting its 2026 margin forecast to about 21% from 24–25%, which dragged on European defence stocks such as Rheinmetall, down 6.94%. Vestas closed 3.8% lower after missing earnings estimates. ABN Amro and RWE both beat expectations.

What to watch
01USD/JPY near 160:
the level at which strategists expect Japanese officials could intervene to support the yen.
02UK Q3 GDP, Thursday morning:
consensus is 0.7%; sterling has already fallen sharply today.
03Fed officials' comments:
whether they move towards a 50bp December hike after the hot CPI report.
04Nvidia board investigation:
any findings could reverse today's relief in AI stocks.
Earnings calendar
Siemens Energy AG ENR
2026-11-11
$131.1B
Missed -4.1% EPS
Corteva Inc CTVA
2026-11-11
$53.9B
Reported
RWE AG RWE
2026-11-11
$48.1B
Beat +13.6% EPS
ABN Amro Group NV ABN
2026-11-11
$39.3B
Beat +18.8% EPS
Swiss Life Holding AG SLHN
2026-11-11
$33.7B
Reported
$28.1B
Missed -12.5% EPS
Issuer-scheduled results release dates — the price-moving event. Already-reported names show the EPS beat/miss vs consensus; names still to come show before-open / after-close (an after-close release means the call is the following morning). “est.” marks a date the data provider itself flags as estimated. Company names link to their PrimerIQ profile.
Recent briefs
2026-11-12 · Closing WrapNvidia's CEO exits and a 10-year yield above 5% pull Wall Street lower2026-11-12 · US Pre-Market UpdateNvidia's CEO exit pulls Nasdaq futures lower as the 10-year returns ab2026-11-12 · Morning BriefNvidia boardroom shock drags Asian chips lower after Wall Street's AI 2026-11-11 · Closing WrapCoreWeave rescues the AI trade as hot CPI sends the dollar higher2026-11-11 · US Pre-Market UpdateCoreWeave revives AI trade as Nasdaq futures shrug off hot CPI and Fed2026-11-11 · Morning BriefChip rally lifts Asia as Wall Street weighs hot CPI and Fed hike talk2026-11-10 · Closing WrapHot US inflation lifts yields and sinks tech, stranding Asia's chip re2026-11-10 · US Pre-Market UpdateHot October CPI knocks Nasdaq futures 1% lower as December hike bets f2026-11-10 · Morning BriefChipmakers and cheaper oil spark global rebound as US inflation data l2026-11-09 · Closing WrapWall Street rallies more than 2% as oil slides on Iran hopes; Nvidia l2026-11-09 · US Pre-Market UpdateOil slide lifts futures as Nvidia probe tests a bruised AI trade2026-11-09 · Morning BriefTaiwan short-selling curbs spark Asian chip rebound as Nvidia probe we2026-11-06 · Closing WrapWall Street's bounce fades as Asia takes the AI rout in full2026-11-06 · US Pre-Market UpdateStrong jobs data revives Fed hike risk as Nasdaq futures try to bounce2026-11-06 · Morning BriefAI rout spreads from Wall Street to Asia as US payrolls loom2026-11-05 · Closing WrapNasdaq sinks 5.52% as election fears and chip selling wreck the AI tra2026-11-05 · US Pre-Market UpdateChips split US futures as strong data tests the post-midterm rally2026-11-05 · Morning BriefMidterm rally meets Asian chip rout as the Bank of England decides at 2026-11-04 · Closing WrapDow surges 1,569 points as oil sinks on Democratic sweep; AI trade lag2026-11-04 · US Pre-Market UpdateDemocrats take Congress; futures and Europe rally as yields, oil and d2026-11-04 · Morning BriefDemocratic midterm gains jolt the AI trade before Asia claws back loss2026-11-03 · Closing WrapBig Tech props up Wall Street as Taiwan sinks 4%; AMD jumps after the 2026-11-03 · US Pre-Market UpdateOil slides again and Nasdaq futures recover as US votes in the midterm2026-11-03 · Morning BriefOil bounces and Asian chip stocks slide as US goes to the polls2026-11-02 · Closing WrapOil drops on Iran talks hopes as AI-chip selling drags the Nasdaq lowe2026-11-02 · US Pre-Market UpdateOil's slide and a tech bounce put futures higher after Friday's chip r2026-11-02 · Morning BriefIntel's warning knocks Wall Street; Seoul rebounds and oil drops on Ir2026-10-30 · Closing WrapIntel and Amazon revive AI spending fears as Nasdaq slides 2.86%2026-10-30 · US Pre-Market UpdateAmazon and Intel deepen AI-spending sell-off; Nasdaq 100 futures down 2026-10-30 · Morning BriefAlphabet's spending shock drags Asian tech lower; Nasdaq futures down

Comments

Discussion runs across all of today's editions and starts fresh with tomorrow's morning brief.
No comments yet on today's brief.